That's really interesting; I had thought it was just the high CO2 was a proxy for greater occupancy, but it does look like there is a physical effect. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-47777-5
Ambient carbon dioxide concentration correlates with SARS-CoV-2 aerostability and infection risk
Allen Haddrell, Henry Oswin, Mara Otero-Fernandez
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Joshua F. Robinson, Tristan Cogan, Robert Alexander, Jamie F. S. Mann, Darryl Hill, Adam Finn, Andrew D. Davidson, Jonathan P. Reid
2024 · Nature Communications
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From the abstract
Abstract An improved understanding of the underlying physicochemical properties of respiratory aerosol that influence viral infectivity may open new avenues to mitigate the transmission of respiratory diseases such as COVID-19. Previous studies have shown that an increase in the pH of respiratory aerosols following generation due to changes in the gas-particle partitioning of pH buffering bicarbonate ions and carbon dioxide is a significant factor in reducing SARS-CoV-2 infectivity. We show here that a significant increase in SARS-CoV-2 aerostability results from a moderate increase in the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration (e.g. 800 ppm), an effect that is more marked than that observed for changes in relative humidity. We model the likelihood of COVID-19 transmission on the ambient concentration of CO 2 , concluding that even this moderate increase in CO 2 concentration results in a significant increase in overall risk. These observations confirm the critical importance of ventilation and maintaining low CO 2 concentrations in indoor environments for mitigating disease transmission. Moreover, the correlation of increased CO 2 concentration with viral aerostability need to be better understood when considering the consequences of increases in ambient CO 2 levels in our atmosphere.
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It's even more important if this finding [1] (press release [2]) turns out to be true, namely that the amount of carbon dioxide in the air is not just a proxy for air quality, but that having less of it actually actively destabilizes virus particles. Also, portable air cleaners seem to work pretty well [3]. [1] https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-47777-5 [2] https://www.bristol.ac.uk/cabot/news/2024/virus.html [3] https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S295036202...
> Results showed increasing the CO2 concentration to just 800 ppm, a level identified as well ventilated, resulted in an increase in viral aerostability. After 40 minutes, when compared to clean air, around 10 times as much virus remained infectious when the air has a CO2 concentration similar to that of a crowded room (3,000 ppm). > Dr Haddrell said: “This relationship sheds important light on why super spreader events may occur under certain conditions. The high pH of exhaled droplets containing the SARS-CoV-2 virus is likely a major driver of the loss of infectiousness. CO2 behaves as an acid when it interacts with droplets. This causes the pH of the droplets to become…
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less alkaline, resulting in the virus within them being inactivated at a slower rate. https://www.bristol.ac.uk/cabot/news/2024/virus.html Ambient carbon dioxide concentration correlates with SARS-CoV-2 aerostability and infection risk https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-47777-5
Title seems misleading. It seems that they have results that elevated levels of CO2 in the air increase survivability of viral aerosol particles and infectiousness. Since CO2 is so low (400-1000ppm) this is surprising. Haven't had time to look through the paper closely but seems to be pH related which makes sense. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-47777-5
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