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Bad Universal Priors and Notions of Optimality

Jan Leike, Marcus Hutter

2015 · arXiv

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From the abstract

A big open question of algorithmic information theory is the choice of the universal Turing machine (UTM). For Kolmogorov complexity and Solomonoff induction we have invariance theorems: the choice of the UTM changes bounds only by a constant. For the universally intelligent agent AIXI (Hutter, 2005) no invariance theorem is known. Our results are entirely negative: we discuss cases in which unlucky or adversarial choices of the UTM cause AIXI to misbehave drastically. We show that Legg-Hutter intelligence and thus balanced Pareto optimality is entirely subjective, and that every policy is Pareto optimal in the class of all computable environments. This undermines all existing optimality properties for AIXI. While it may still serve as a gold standard for AI, our results imply that AIXI is a relative theory, dependent on the choice of the UTM.

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3 selected excerpts · 3 total mentions

chriswarbo
Neutral mention · rule
> his AIXI algorithm, which he already considers to be the pinnacle of artificially intelligence This paper from Hutter in 2015 https://arxiv.org/abs/1510.04931 considers AIXI to be "subjective", since the choice of Universal Turing Machine is left unspecified: > We show that Legg-Hutter intelligence and thus balanced Pareto optimality is entirely subjective, and that every policy is Pareto optimal in the class of all computable environments. This undermines all existing optimality properties for AIXI. While it may still serve as a gold standard for AI, our results imply that AIXI is a relative theory, dependent on the choice of the UTM.
vintermann
Neutral mention · rule
Oops, I thought there was something odd, I got my rationality acronyms mixed up. Hutter's program was called AIXI (MIRI was the research lab). Here is Leike's paper, coauthored with Hutter: https://arxiv.org/abs/1510.04931 They can probably sum it up in their own paper better than I can, but AIXI was supposed to be a formalized, objective model of rationality. They knew from the start that it was uncomputable, but I think they hoped to use it as a sort of gold standard that you could approach. But then it turned out that the choice of Turing machine, which can be (mostly) ignored for Kolmogorov complexity, can not be ignored in AIXI at all.
tarxzvf
Neutral mention · rule
What exactly are the right priors for general intelligence? And keep in mind, whichever prior you choose, I can design learning problem where it will lead you astray. This paper provides some interesting results on the weakness inherent in universal priors: https://arxiv.org/abs/1510.04931

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