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AI models collapse when trained on recursively generated data

Ilia Shumailov, Zakhar Shumaylov, Yiren Zhao

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Nicolas Papernot, Ross Anderson, Yarin Gal

2024 · Nature

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From the abstract

Abstract Stable diffusion revolutionized image creation from descriptive text. GPT-2 (ref. 1 ), GPT-3(.5) (ref. 2 ) and GPT-4 (ref. 3 ) demonstrated high performance across a variety of language tasks. ChatGPT introduced such language models to the public. It is now clear that generative artificial intelligence (AI) such as large language models (LLMs) is here to stay and will substantially change the ecosystem of online text and images. Here we consider what may happen to GPT-{ n } once LLMs contribute much of the text found online. We find that indiscriminate use of model-generated content in training causes irreversible defects in the resulting models, in which tails of the original content distribution disappear. We refer to this effect as ‘model collapse’ and show that it can occur in LLMs as well as in variational autoencoders (VAEs) and Gaussian mixture models (GMMs). We build theoretical intuition behind the phenomenon and portray its ubiquity among all learned generative models. We demonstrate that it must be taken seriously if we are to sustain the benefits of training from large-scale data scraped from the web. Indeed, the value of data collected about genuine human interactions with systems will be increasingly valuable in the presence of LLM-generated content in data crawled from the Internet.

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Original HN comments, with labels from simple text rules. A label describes the whole comment and may miss context or irony. Read the discussion to make up your own mind. About the labels

12 selected excerpts · 12 total mentions

nostrademons
Neutral mention · rule
This seems closely related to the problem of model collapse [1][2][3], where LLMs lose the tails of the distribution, and so when you recursively train on the output of an LLM, or otherwise feed the output back into the input in subsequent stages, you lose the precision and diversity that human authors bring to the work. Eventually everything regresses to the mean and anything that would've made the content unique, useful, and differentiated gets lost. My takeaway from this is that AI is a temporary phenomena, the end stage of the Internet age. It's going to destroy the Internet as we know it as well as much of the technological knowledge of the developed world, and then…
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we're going to have to start fresh and rebuild everything we know. My takeaway is that I'm trying to use AI to identify and download the remaining sources of facts on the Internet, the human-authored stuff that isn't generated for engagement but comes from the era when people were just putting useful stuff online to share information. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Model_collapse [2] https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-07566-y [3] https://cacm.acm.org/blogcacm/model-collapse-is-already-happ...
bitwize
Neutral mention · rule
This leads to a well-documented phenomenon known as model collapse. You know how if you blur and sharpen an image repeatedly you eventually end up with just a rectangle of creepy, wormy spaghetti lines? You lose information on each blur, and then ask it to reconstitute the image with less information on each sharpen, until there's nothing recognizable left. Training a model is like the blur and generating from that model is like the sharpen. Repeat enough times and enough information is lost that you're just left with "wormy spaghetti lines"—in an LLM's case, meaningless gibberish that actually pretty closely resembles the glitchy stuff said by the cores that fall off…
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GLaDOS in Portal. I dunno, you read the paper and be the judge: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-07566-y To jump to the last output sample, C-f Gen 9 Of course you may be talking about the human aspect of this. Gods willing, we'll realize that our LLMs are spewing gibberish and think twice about putting them in all the things, all the time. But the scenario I fear isn't Idiocracy—it's worse: a community of humans who treat the gibberish as sacred writ, Zardoz style.
devnullbrain
Neutral mention · rule
I don't see why this wouldn't just lead to model collapse: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-07566-y If you've spent any time using LLMs to write documentation you'll see this for yourself: the compounding will just be rewriting valid information with less terse information. I find it concerning Karpathy doesn't see this. But I'm not surprised, because AI maximalists seem to find it really difficult to be... "normal"? Rule of thumb: if you find yourself needing to broadcast the special LLM sauce you came up with instead of what it helped you produce, ask yourself why.
matznerd
Neutral mention · rule
I do writing with RAG and it can be implemented to suprisingly good if you already have your own writing that the text is being generated from. FAQs etc can be pretty easy when your content is context for the AI. After a few rounds of AI generating AI content from AI content, I'm sure it could eventually become slop...like the model collapse lol idk. "AI models collapse when trained on recursively generated data" - https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-07566-y
roadside_picnic
Neutral mention · rule
That original model collapse paper has largely been misunderstood and in practice, this is only true if you're not curating the generated data at all. The original paper even specifies (emphasis mine): > We find that indiscriminate use of model-generated content in training causes irreversible defects in the resulting models, in which tails of the original content distribution disappear. [0] In practice nobody is "indiscriminately" using model output to fine-tune models since that doesn't even make sense. Even if you're harvesting web data generated by LLMs, that data has in fact been curated by it's acceptance on whatever platform you found it on is a form of…
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curation. There was a very recent paper Supervised Fine Tuning on Curated Data is Reinforcement Learning (and can be improved) [1] whose content is pretty well summarized by the title. So long as the data is curated in some way, you are providing more information to the model and the results should improve somewhat. 0. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-07566-y 1. https://www.arxiv.org/pdf/2507.12856 edit: updated based on cooksnoot's comment
daveguy
Neutral mention · rule
But, the internet is already polluted and being constantly polluted by LLMs. It feels like LLMs are the PFAS of the internet. So, I'm not sure what your argument is, but I would welcome clarification. Maybe I am misunderstanding your definition of model collapse. The article references this definition of model collapse[0]. I'm curious when you say "that's not what model collapse is" -- what do you mean by model collapse that is different from the definition of the article and reference? [0] https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-07566-y
crooked-v
Neutral mention · rule
> But as it started consuming more and more data that it had produced itself, its reliability became close to none. It's exactly the opposite with LLMs. See the "model collapse" phenomenon (https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-07566-y). > We show that, over time, models start losing information about the true distribution, which first starts with tails disappearing, and learned behaviours converge over the generations to a point estimate with very small variance. Furthermore, we show that this process is inevitable, even for cases with almost ideal conditions for long-term learning, that is, no function estimation error
antisthenes
Neutral mention · rule
Synthetic data without some kind of external validation is garbage. E.g. you can't just synthetically generate code, something or someone needs to run it and see if it performs the functions you actually asked of it. You need to feed the LLM output into some kind of formal verification system, and only then add it back to the synthetic training dataset. Here, for example - dumb recursive training causes model collapse: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-07566-y
omegaworks
Neutral mention · rule
This has been one [unintended?] consequence of AI promulgation. A direct disincentive toward the kind of open access that so used to be common and provided a lot of low-hanging fruit for independent developers trying to increase interoperability within their favorite niches. So now not only is AI filling the web with garbage that poisons future model development[1], it provides incentive to further close and wall off access to (user-provided!) data. 1. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-07566-y

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