"Does X look like Y" is always a continum. In test environments, players are judged human with these rates: * Real humans 66% * GPT-4: 49.7% * ELIZA: 22% * GPT-3.5: 20% https://arxiv.org/pdf/2310.20216 (I'm rather surprised by ELIZA beating 3.5, as were the researchers). Turing's introduction of the test, was a 70% chance of spotting the AI after 5 minutes.
Does GPT-4 pass the Turing test?
Cameron R. Jones, Benjamin K. Bergen
2023 · arXiv
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From the abstract
We evaluated GPT-4 in a public online Turing test. The best-performing GPT-4 prompt passed in 49.7% of games, outperforming ELIZA (22%) and GPT-3.5 (20%), but falling short of the baseline set by human participants (66%). Participants' decisions were based mainly on linguistic style (35%) and socioemotional traits (27%), supporting the idea that intelligence, narrowly conceived, is not sufficient to pass the Turing test. Participant knowledge about LLMs and number of games played positively correlated with accuracy in detecting AI, suggesting learning and practice as possible strategies to mitigate deception. Despite known limitations as a test of intelligence, we argue that the Turing test continues to be relevant as an assessment of naturalistic communication and deception. AI models with the ability to masquerade as humans could have widespread societal consequences, and we analyse the effectiveness of different strategies and criteria for judging humanlikeness.
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"GPT-4 achieved a success rate of 41 percent, second only to actual humans" also feels like a (much bigger) lie of omission looking at the original paper. GPT4's performance was in the range of 6% to 41%, Eliza's 27% score sat in the upper middle of that range, and considering the bots tested consisted of 8 GPT4 prompts, 2 GPT3.5 prompts and a naive script from the 1960s, GPT4 would have had to be remarkably consistently inhuman not to finish "second only to humans" with its highest scoring prompt The blog appears to have been updated to specify GPT3.5, but the original version was accurate. The paper itself is interesting as it covers the limitations (it has big methodological issues), how the GPT prompts attempted to overridei default chatGPT tone and reasons why ELIZA performed surprisingly well (some thought it was so uncooperative, it must be human!) https://arxiv.org/pdf/2310.20216.pdf
GPT4 might not be great at the Turing test either, it seems (https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.20216 and that is the simple non-adverserial version of the test).
not yet: https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.20216 that being said, it is highly intelligent, capable of reasoning as well as a human, and passes IQ tests like GMAT and GRE at levels like the 97th percentile. most people who talk about Chat GPT don't even realize that GPT 4 exists and is orders of magnitude more intelligent than the free version.
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