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China and India lead in greening of the world through land-use management

Chi Chen, Taejin Park, Xuhui Wang

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Shilong Piao, Baodong Xu, Rajiv K. Chaturvedi, Richard Fuchs, Victor Brovkin, Philippe Ciais, Rasmus Fensholt, Hans Tømmervik, Govindasamy Bala, Zaichun Zhu, Ramakrishna R. Nemani, Ranga B. Myneni

2019 · Nature Sustainability

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kbutler
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Nasa also says the world was greening 2000-2017 https://www.nasa.gov/centers-and-facilities/ames/human-activ... 5% increase in leaf area over the period (from CO2 and land-use changes) https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-019-0220-7 The paper for this thread https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aax1396 also addresses data generally ending in 2015, and says "all four LAI [Leaf Area Index] datasets exhibited a transition from increasing trends before the late 1990s to decreasing trends afterward (fig. S5)" Those claims appear to be in direct contradiction, and I don't see any immediate way to reconcile them.
relaxing
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Unfortunately this Nature article (https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-019-0220-7 ) is behind a paywall, but the NASA summary implies they measured "leaf area". The Science article (https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aax1396 ) claims Leaf Area Index (same or different measure than the Nature study?) "exhibited a transition from increasing trends before the late 1990s to decreasing trends afterward". So at first blush yes, but the details will doubtlessly prove otherwise. If anyone has an institutional login and can post a pdf, please do.
notlukesky
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The Nasa abstract link is: https://www.nasa.gov/feature/ames/human-activity-in-china-an... http://sites.bu.edu/cliveg/files/2019/02/Chen-NSUST-2019.pdf And the original paper is here (unfortunately behind a paywall): https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-019-0220-7 It would be great to see the breakdown by country and by category of forestation and planting of crops.
wickedwiesel
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Yes, India and China may be "greener". But, as the referenced article [0] states: The greening in China is from forests (42%) and croplands (32%), but in India is mostly from croplands (82%) with minor contribution from forests (4.4%). Main driver for greening according to the authors is an increase in food production. It is not re-forestation as the Forbes' author wants readers to think: Both China and India went through phases of large scale deforestation in the 1970s and 80s, clearing old growth forests for urban development, farming and agriculture. However, it is clear that when presented with a problem, humans are incredibly adept at finding a solution. The…
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hubris! This means we actually observe net deforestation, globally, but also in China [1] and India [2] if you look at tree coverage indicators from Global Forest Watch. Global Forest Watch also uses satellite images, from a very similar timeline, so it should be comparable and raise serious doubts on the positive message of the Forbes article. To preserve biodiversity and combat climate change, we need more forests, not just more "green" land. [0] Nature article: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-019-0220-7 [1] China Forest Watch map: http://bit.ly/2HGOXtI [2] India Forest Watch map: http://bit.ly/2qT4e0g (edits to improve formatting)
wyattpeak
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From the abstract of the study[1]: > The greening in China is from forests (42%) and croplands (32%), but in India is mostly from croplands (82%) with minor contribution from forests (4.4%). I can't comment on the sequestration effects of farms, though, beyond my ken. [1] https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-019-0220-7

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